Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.065828 0.071088 0.076399 0.082154 0.088207 0.094378 0.101135
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.056361 0.064044 0.072068 0.081045 0.090781 0.100992 0.112483
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.049667 0.059122 0.069304 0.081018 0.094059 0.108066 0.124186
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.044243 0.055004 0.066922 0.080984 0.097002 0.114567 0.135167
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.041537 0.053624 0.067339 0.083867 0.103056 0.124451 0.149926
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.038478 0.051521 0.066668 0.085287 0.107288 0.132195 0.162257
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.035704 0.049500 0.065876 0.086381 0.111002 0.139260 0.173784
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.032485 0.046673 0.063892 0.085852 0.112640 0.143798 0.182309
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.030483 0.045212 0.063439 0.087059 0.116262 0.150616 0.193494
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.027892 0.042800 0.061634 0.086452 0.117566 0.154591 0.201261
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.026000 0.041172 0.060707 0.086838 0.120009 0.159883 0.210582
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.024744 0.040309 0.060692 0.088319 0.123771 0.166762 0.221829
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.024477 0.040827 0.062541 0.092293 0.130806 0.177841 0.238445
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021815 0.037813 0.059546 0.089843 0.129606 0.178705 0.242552
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020005 0.035904 0.057942 0.089134 0.130568 0.182216 0.249908
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.018450 0.034265 0.056621 0.088726 0.131861 0.186111 0.257735
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.018063 0.034360 0.057715 0.091590 0.137458 0.195494 0.272494
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.017252 0.033745 0.057757 0.092986 0.141106 0.202405 0.284185
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.016412 0.033029 0.057608 0.094084 0.144343 0.208796 0.295248
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.015158 0.031562 0.056293 0.093487 0.145258 0.212164 0.302465
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.014493 0.031018 0.056309 0.094749 0.148677 0.218789 0.313872
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.013383 0.029652 0.055024 0.094094 0.149439 0.221920 0.320786
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.012612 0.028812 0.054498 0.094498 0.151633 0.226923 0.330127